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The Final Poll
I'm scared - very scared. If this is anything to go by, Lithuania have a good chance
of winning the whole thing. I certainly wouldn't discount them, but I hope the more conservative voters give it a wide
berth.
Greece is still very popular, coming in in a surprise second place at the last minute.
Turkey has jumped in the past matter of minutes to favourite. Lithuania are coming in third. I reckon we could
see something similar, but as I've predicted, Sweden, Norway, B&H and Germany are all in with a chance.
At 7pm, just one hour before the final, 162 people had voted. I took a note of the full results.
Here they are:
1. Turkey 18.5%
2. Greece 14.8%
3. Lithuania 13%
4. Finland 8%
5. Romania 6.2%
6. Bosnia & Herzegovina 6.2%
7. Sweden 4.3%
8. Malta 3.7%
9. Russia 3.1%
10. Armenia 3.1%
Germany and Ireland are just outside with 2.5% of the vote each.
If the poll's right - I've predicted the right winner with Turkey, so fingers crossed :o)
You can see all the results here:
Poll Result
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What's your favourite 2006 Final song?
|
| Switzerland |
 |
0.6% |
| Moldova |
|
1.9% |
| Israel |
|
1.9% |
| Latvia |
|
0.6% |
| Norway |
|
1.2% |
| Spain |
|
0.6% |
| Malta |
|
3.7% |
| Germany |
|
2.5% |
| Denmark |
|
1.2% |
| Russia |
|
3.1% |
| Macedonia |
|
0.6% |
| Romania |
|
6.2% |
| Bosnia & Herzegovina |
|
6.2% |
| Lithuania |
|
13% |
| United Kingdom |
|
2.5% |
| Greece |
|
14.8% |
| Finland |
|
8% |
| Ukraine |
|
0.6% |
| France |
|
0.6% |
| Croatia |
|
1.9% |
| Ireland |
|
2.5% |
| Sweden |
|
4.3% |
| Turkey |
|
18.5% |
| Armenia |
|
3.1% |
| Total Votes: 162 |
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The Semi-Final Poll
The Semi-Final Poll reeled in 156 votes and suggests Belgium will win the Semi hands
down - with a massive 22.4% of the vote. It also suggests Ireland and Cyprus have a significant chance of qualification
- have a look at the top 12:
1. Belgium 22.4%
2. Cyprus 9.6%
2. Iceland 9.6%
4. Turkey 8.3%
5. Sweden 7.7%
5. Russia 7.7%
7. Ireland 5.1%
7. Finland 5.1%
7. Bosnia & Herzegovina 5.1%
10. Macedonia 3.2%
And just outside:
11th & 12th Estonia and Armenia
Andorra are the only country to sit with 0% of the vote. Interestingly, though joint
7th in the Semi-Final favourites, Ireland come 2nd to Lithuania in the least favourite Semi-Final songs...
Here's what it looks like for each country in the Semi-Final Poll:
Poll Result
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What's your favourite song in the 2006 Semi-Final?
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| Armenia |
|
2.5% |
| Bulgaria |
|
1.3% |
| Slovenia |
|
1.9% |
| Andorra |
|
0% |
| Bulgaria |
|
0.6% |
| Albania |
|
0.6% |
| Belgium |
|
22.3% |
| Ireland |
|
5.1% |
| Cyprus |
|
9.6% |
| Monaco |
|
0.6% |
| Macedonia |
|
3.2% |
| Poland |
|
1.3% |
| Russia |
|
7.6% |
| Turkey |
|
8.3% |
| Ukraine |
|
1.3% |
| Finland |
|
5.7% |
| Netherlands |
|
1.3% |
| Lithuania |
|
1.3% |
| Portugal |
|
0.6% |
| Sweden |
|
7.6% |
| Estonia |
|
2.5% |
| Bosnia & Herzegivina |
|
5.1% |
| Iceland |
|
9.6% |
| Total Votes: 157 |
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Overall Poll
The outlook in the overall poll which received a huge 300 votes (thank you everyone!) was
slightly different, but the Semi-Finalists were all in there:
1. Greece 18%
2. Belgium 14%
3. Romania 9.3%
4. Turkey 5.7 %
5. Sweden 5.3%
6. UK 4%
7. Germany 3.7%
7. Russia 3.7%
9. Malta 3.3%
10. Iceland 3%
11. Bosnia & Herzegovina 2.7%
12. Finland 2.3%
13. Norway 2%
13. Slovenia 2%
15th - 18th Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus,
Israel & Macedonia, all with 1.7%
In contrast to the Semi-Final poll, Ireland has just 1% of
the vote, while Armenia has 1.3% and Estonia just 0.7%
Interestingly, Slovenia makes it into the top ten Semi-Finalists in the overall poll, but
not in the Semi-Final poll.
Here's what the Overall Poll says altogether:
Poll Result
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|
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What is your favourite Eurovision 2006 entry?
|
| Albania |
|
1% |
| Andorra |
|
0.3% |
| Armenia |
|
1.3% |
| Belarus |
|
0.3% |
| Belgium |
|
14% |
| Bosnia & Herzegivina |
|
2.7% |
| Bulgaria |
|
1.7% |
| Croatia |
|
1.7% |
| Cyprus |
|
1.7% |
| Denmark |
|
0.3% |
| Estonia |
|
0.7% |
| Finland |
|
2.7% |
| France |
|
0.3% |
| Germany |
|
3.7% |
| Greece |
|
17.9% |
| Iceland |
|
3% |
| Ireland |
|
1% |
| Israel |
|
1.7% |
| Latvia |
|
0.3% |
| Lithuania |
|
1% |
| Macedonia |
|
1.7% |
| Malta |
|
3.3% |
| Moldova |
|
0.7% |
| Monaco |
|
0.3% |
| Netherlands |
|
0.7% |
| Norway |
|
2% |
| Poland |
|
1.3% |
| Portugal |
|
0.7% |
| Romania |
|
9.3% |
| Russia |
|
3.7% |
| Slovenia |
|
2% |
| Spain |
|
1% |
| Sweden |
|
5.3% |
| Switzerland |
|
0.7% |
| Turkey |
|
5.6% |
| Ukraine |
|
0.7% |
| United Kingdom |
|
4% |
| Total Votes: 301 |
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So what are the Je t'adore, Eurovision! polls saying?
In relation to tonight (the Semi-Final), after some close analysis, the polls suggest something
like this:
1. Belgium - hands down qualifier
2. Turkey - popular in both polls
3. Sweden - a big surprise if it didn't, regardless of what the polls say.
4. Russia - 6th in the Semi poll and 8th in the overall poll - very sturdy favourite
5. Iceland - popular in both polls
6. Bosnia & Herzegovina - just makes the top ten in the Semi-Final poll and just sits
6th of the Semi-Finalists in the overall poll.
7. Finland - again, very steady - 8th and 7th respectively.
8. Now it gets difficult - Slovenia didn't make the Semi-Final poll top ten, but are sitting
at 8th out of the Semi-Finalists in the overall poll. Cyprus come second in the Semi-Final poll and 10th in the overall
out of the Semi-Finalists. I'm suggesting Cyprus.
9. Slovenia
10. Macedonia - just in top 10 in Semi-Final poll, just outside it in overall poll.
And sitting outside the top ten we have Armenia, Estonia, Ireland and maybe even Bulgaria.
So, are these 15 countries our possible qualifiers? We'll find out in less than 3 hours!!
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